Sober Look

Below is a graph showing the performance of the S&P Developed Broad Market Index (BMI). It represents stocks of some 26 developed mark...

Jim Moltz Numerous analysts - often the same ones that were bearish just six months ago - continue to talk up US equities using a vari...

US equity markets are touching multi-year highs as investors increasingly allocate to the risk-on trade. But there are a few signals that ...

The probability of another four years of gridlock in Washington is rising as shown by the combined odds of Obama's reelection and the ...

Analysts have been pointing out that earnings for the S&P500 companies continued to surprise to the upside for Q2 results. The top-lin...

As discussed in  this post , US equities have outperformed (albeit at much higher volatility) US corporate credit this year - both HY and ...

Business Insider (Tobias Levkovich) : - ... the equity market has been linked quite tight with oil prices over the past five years, there...

In recent years we've seen a clear indication that inflation expectations and US equity prices are correlated. Certainly once inflatio...

Here is a sad statement on the "lost decade" of the US equity market. The S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Home Price Index, th...

Cyclical shares started underperforming the broader market in August of last year. What's interesting is that on a relative basis they...

The dollar's status as a "safe haven" currency  (see this post for some background) came into question yesterday. Typically...

There is a great deal of discussion in the market about the dislocation between US equities and treasuries. It is somewhat surprising tha...

Investors Intelligence is reporting the highest reading of bullish oriented news writers since May of 2011. Those writing articles with a ...

The US equity market continues to stay resilient after beating every major equity market globally in 2011. This is upsetting many invest...

The US equity market outperformed every major equity market globally in 2011. It is also the only major market with a positive return for...

President Obama's 2012 Intrade reelection odds now stand at about 52%, roughly a 2% increase in the last few days. What has changed t...

The saga of diverging risk indicators continues. Today the contradiction could be observed intraday. The equity market rally was fairly...

The US equity market is poised for a near-term rally. It is a difficult statement to make, given all the headwinds, but the signs are t...

Individual investor has turned bullish on the equity markets, but only modestly so. The chart below from Credit Suisse / AAII shows the re...

As the US equity market rally continues, many point out that the S&P500 is still 21% below last year's level. We still have ways to...